Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 12.102730 14.149301 16.384115 18.998802 21.966807 25.223798 29.060800
2025-06-29 8.356282 11.048082 14.299790 18.483530 23.686497 29.904280 37.852976
2025-07-06 6.078418 8.891973 12.580038 17.694080 24.515409 33.204658 44.997972
2025-07-13 5.196752 8.246000 12.510347 18.777236 27.593661 39.372691 56.078155
2025-07-20 4.513046 7.698020 12.412988 19.698811 30.423481 45.335729 67.268143
2025-07-27 3.899560 7.116355 12.135545 20.253993 32.699717 50.628151 77.850605
2025-08-03 3.323023 6.473974 11.644434 20.376247 34.278813 54.969426 87.313149
2025-08-10 2.763159 5.748160 10.897481 19.968797 34.950492 57.953311 94.916768
2025-08-17 2.288768 5.080852 10.139305 19.422048 35.298606 60.404770 101.804571
2025-08-24 1.890859 4.478321 9.398213 18.792882 35.410808 62.437985 108.107829
2025-08-31 1.537985 3.892944 8.596042 17.941915 35.034218 63.610217 113.060305
2025-09-07 1.400665 3.737291 8.587173 18.527569 37.179159 69.024384 125.133682
2025-09-14 1.219130 3.467195 8.353835 18.743597 38.833766 73.985158 137.224792
2025-09-21 1.007792 3.082718 7.834380 18.358489 39.394662 77.198998 146.767887
2025-09-28 0.806770 2.668912 7.175964 17.594647 39.147363 78.956965 153.922786
2025-10-05 0.756528 2.643109 7.386759 18.676422 42.577525 87.541896 173.520587
2025-10-12 0.700762 2.587634 7.517249 19.594434 45.753413 95.858748 193.109786
2025-10-19 0.631730 2.474550 7.487695 20.147202 48.224495 103.010259 210.986875
2025-10-26 0.551664 2.304121 7.283284 20.268921 49.798337 108.548191 226.202406
2025-11-02 0.462185 2.074192 6.879972 19.863334 50.198388 111.826949 237.375672
2025-11-09 0.382290 1.849476 6.446083 19.319088 50.230797 114.362257 247.257806
2025-11-16 0.313136 1.638079 6.005971 18.692814 50.006502 116.345143 256.159693
2025-11-23 0.250082 1.423980 5.510460 17.845779 49.179255 117.016099 262.505227